Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.334820 1.608445 1.944709 2.395606 2.995845 3.784607 4.929838
2025-01-05 0.959169 1.274814 1.719962 2.421596 3.557686 5.445307 9.133121
2025-01-12 0.739757 1.046071 1.518683 2.352355 3.916426 7.072129 15.234041
2025-01-19 0.608770 0.900756 1.382586 2.310887 4.279469 9.012283 25.337736
2025-01-26 0.548795 0.848179 1.375883 2.488442 5.181728 13.137585 53.825884
2025-02-02 0.496499 0.794827 1.349964 2.614020 6.062547 18.546370 120.783164
2025-02-09 0.442626 0.727103 1.278261 2.609656 6.608649 23.903287 259.838746
2025-02-16 0.393508 0.659220 1.190241 2.534095 6.901014 28.987118 559.179334
2025-02-23 0.363153 0.621886 1.157445 2.587846 7.697627 39.378249 2134.648252
2025-03-02 0.341126 0.597173 1.146378 2.697721 8.838958 57.406052 29187.356533
2025-03-09 0.316516 0.563459 1.107841 2.714821 9.634890 77.859836 NaN
2025-03-16 0.288965 0.520009 1.038492 2.614245 9.800579 93.213045 NaN
2025-03-23 0.274647 0.503412 1.032670 2.724939 11.285024 149.062115 NaN
2025-03-30 0.257837 0.479364 1.004207 2.751572 12.383645 223.794913 NaN
2025-04-06 0.238493 0.447453 0.950169 2.668709 12.707842 291.298884 NaN
2025-04-13 0.222677 0.421758 0.908453 2.619516 13.266480 405.662518 NaN
2025-04-20 0.217601 0.419885 0.930372 2.829480 16.326347 1047.870603 NaN
2025-04-27 0.210567 0.412564 0.935917 2.978511 19.330209 3071.698457 NaN
2025-05-04 0.199633 0.394749 0.908405 2.973321 20.819544 7336.540786 NaN
2025-05-11 0.187462 0.372796 0.865557 2.883599 21.208313 14551.490107 NaN
2025-05-18 0.180280 0.362335 0.855456 2.947408 23.873652 126119.407608 NaN
2025-05-25 0.175142 0.356384 0.858122 3.078076 28.142285 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.167926 0.344508 0.840502 3.098440 30.871788 NaN NaN